Ülo Ennuste majandusartiklid

 

 

IMFi 18.V 09 avalduse viimasest lausest

 19.V 09

ÄPee 18. mai annab selle lause alguse kohta järgmise „loomingulise” vabatõlke:

 „Tähtis on tuvastada majanduskasvu takistavad meetmed, …”

 Tegelikult on IMFi tekstis majandusteaduseliselt öeldud hoopiski midagi muud:

It will be important to identify measures that limit the procyclical impact on growth, …”

 Seega, IMFi mure ei näi olevat „majanduskasvu takistavate meetmete tuvastamine” – see on ju asjatundjatele kaugele näha, et mis meetmed siin majanduskasvu oluliselt takistavad – kuid oluline on identifitseerida neid meetmeid, mis aitaks piirata valitsuse majanduspoliitika pro-tsüklilisust.

Teisiti öeldes, IMF näib arvavat et Eesti praeguse poliitilise seisundi juures ei ole majanduspoliitika pro-tsüklilisuse häda täielikult võimalik kõrvaldada, seda kasvõi näiteks valimistsüklite tõttu, mis teatavasti meil praeguse poliitsüsteemi ja elektroraadi taseme puhul  nõuavad poliitikutelt võimule pääsemiseks äärmiselt räigeid populistlikke meetmeid. Küll aga võiks Eestit aidata vähemalt see, et kindlaks teha millised meetmed piiraks poliitika  poolt tsüklite takka kütmist, momendil masule vatti juurde andmist.

 Teatavasti eelarvekärped vähendavad sisenõudlust ja seega annavad majandusaktiivsuse langusele hoogu juurde, seejuures vähendades täiendavalt hõivet ning seega täiendavalt takistades tulevast võimalikku majanduskasvu otseselt.

 Järelikult oleks tõesti mõttekas IMFi nõuandel selgitada, et kuivõrd meil kärbete komplementeerimine tsiviliseeritud turumajanduse moel tulumaksude progressiivistamisega, eriti kasumimaksude taastamisega, annaks majandusele vähem kahjustavaid hoope kui pelgalt igaaastane kärpimine ja kärpimine koos „loomingulise” majandusteaduslikult asjatundmatu hämamisega ja hämamisega.

mai 19, 2009 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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