Ülo Ennuste majandusartiklid

Caritas in Veritas …

 

„Caritas in Veritate“ v. „Post-Veritas“

Üks viimatisi sügavaimaid esseesid tõerääkimise (standard termin otsustusteooriates) filosoofiast turumajanduslikus kontekstis on kirja pandud Paavst Benedictus’e XVI poolt* (seda küll ainult usuteadusliku õpetuse raames) – ning taolise käsitluse vastasuse ning vääramise kohta leiame arvukalt definitsioone ning teoreeme ja seotud osundusi nt Google’ist nt eeskätt märksõna all „Post-truth politics“ ja „Factoids“**

Mis meil selles vallas parajasti eriti aktuaalne on et Euroopa Parlamendis hiljuti vastu võetud Raport*** nõuab EL/28 liikmesriikidelt tugevamaid ennetavaid vastulööke igasugusele terroristlikule propagandale ning selle levitamisele – ja – seda eriti seltskonnaveebides.

Makroökonoomilise ja sotsiaalküberneetilise poliitika teooria kaasaegses kontekstis ning Eesti näidetel oleme Post-Veritas poliitikate vääramise ning tõerääkimise mehhanismide disaini püüdnud arendada**** ja tõenduspõhiselt väidame: a) peamine viga mis on tehtud rahvusliku teadmusruumi kvaliteedi ja selle negentroopia arendamisel – on see et paljude petispoliitikute ning muude taoliste magnaatide poolt – on demokraatlikku sõnavabadust moonutatult/omaksupüüdlikult tõlgendatud rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse õõnestamiseks b) arvestades hübriidsõja tingimusi ning erilist arvukate trollide kolonnide kiskjalikkust – on teatava positiivse ennetava demokraatliku tsensuuri kehtestamine paratamatu c) tuleb rakendada hübriidelt nii moraalseid kui ka materiaalseid stiimuleid tõerääkimise edendamiseks ja seda nii administratiivsete kui ka seltskondlike institutsioonide poolt ja seda teaduspõhiselt demokraatlikku kaalutletust väärtustades*****.

*) Pope Benedict XVI’s “Caritas in Veritate”: The Problem with

Globalization is Man’s Selfish Use of Markets

The Pope on “Love in Truth” by Father Robert Sirico from the Wall Street

Journal (2009) is a penetrating analysis of Pope Benedict XVI’s latest encyclical on

the economic crisis, “Caritas in Veritate”.

Sirico points out that Pope Benedict doesn’t condemn markets, globalization

– but rather man’s selfish uses of these instruments.

Caritas in Veritate by Pope Benedict XVI

Democrats Link Pope’s ‘Economic Justice’ Plea With Obama Agenda

Caritas in Veritate is an eloquent restatement of old truths casually

dismissed in modern times. The pope is pointing to a path neglected in all

the talk of economic stimulus, namely a global embrace of truth-filled

charity.

Benedict rightly attributes the crisis itself to “badly managed and largely

speculative financial dealing.” But he resists the current fashion of blaming

all existing world problems on the market economy. “The Church,” he

writes, “has always held that economic action is not to be regarded as

something opposed to society.” Further: “Society does not have to protect

itself from the market, as if the development of the latter were ipso facto to

entail the death of authentically human relations.”

The market is rather shaped by culture. “Economy and finance . . . can be

used badly when those at the helm are motivated by purely selfish ends.”

**) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-truth_politics

***) http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?type=TA&reference=P8-TA-2016-0440&language=ET&ring=A8-2016-0317

****) Ennuste, Ü. (2008) „Synthetic Conceptions of Implementing Mechanisms Design for Public Socio-Economic Information Structure: Illustrative Estonian Examples“  –  In Socio-economic and institutional environment: harmonisation in the EU countries of Baltic Sea Rim: a collection of research articles dedicated to the 10th Anniversary of the Institute for European Studies, Tallinn: Tallinn University of Technology, 9 – 39: http://www.ies.ee/iesp/No4/Ennuste.pdf

*****) SUNSTEIN, CASS R. and REID HASTIE (2015) „Garbage in, garbage out? Some micro sources of macro errors“ – Journal of Institutional Economics Volume 11 Issue 3: 561-583:

https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744137413000398

 

Abstract

Many institutions, large or small, make their decisions through some process of deliberation. Nonetheless, deliberating institutions often fail, in the sense that they make judgments that are false or that fail to take advantage of the information that their members have. Micro mistakes can lead to macro blunders or even catastrophes. There are four such failures; all of them have implication for large-scale institutions as well as small ones. (1) Sometimes the predeliberation errors of an institution’s members are amplified, not merely propagated, as a result of deliberation. (2) Institutions fall victim to cascade effects, as the initial speakers or actors are followed by their successors, who do not disclose what they know. Non-disclosure, on the part of those successors, may be a product of either informational or reputational cascades. (3) As a result of group polarization, deliberating institutions sometimes end up in a more extreme position in line with their predeliberation tendencies. Sometimes group polarization leads in desirable directions, but there is no assurance to this effect. (4) In deliberating institutions, shared information often dominates or crowds out unshared information, ensuring that institutions do not learn what their members know. Informational signals and reputational pressure help to explain all four errors. The results can be harmful to numerous institutions, including large ones, and to societies as a whole. Markets are able to correct some of these problems, but cascade effects occur there as well.

 

P.S.:  unustada ei tohi et majandusliidu liikmesriigi rahvusriikliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse (lähend indikaator võiks olla eeskätt nt konvergents* kogu liidu keskmise kontekstis) tõenäosus sõltub suuresti poliitilistest riskidest ning määramatustest – nii rahvuse lokaalsetest, kogu majandusliidulistest kui ka liiduvälistest **: selge et mida suuremad need lokaalselt on seda rohkem on sootsiumid hirmutatud nii reaalselt kui ka lisaks trollide poolt faktide kaskaadidega – ja seda suurem on nii põhielanike pagemine välismaale (Eestist olevat viimaste kümnendite jooksul ligemale 6% põhiliselt põhielanikkonnast lahkunud (CEED Report „One Way Ticket“ 2016  andmetel: seega vastavad rahvuslike inimvarade kaotuste informaalsed hinnangud võivad ulatuda kuni sadade miljardite eurodeni*) ning Eurostati järgi immigrantide positiivne aktiivsus on vähemefektiivne – negatiivsest aktiivsusest pole poliitkorrektne hingitseda) – eriti aga finantskapitalide lekkimine kodumaisest rahvuslikust majandusest sest finantsistid on eriti riskikartlikud (EP Statistika järgi on Eesti juba pooltosinat aastat olnud välismaale neto-laenu andjaks ning meie residentide poolt on deklareerituna välismaal ligemale 30 miljardi euro mahus investeeringuid) – kõik see muidugi õõnestab meie rahvuslikku majanduspotentsiaali ning erodeerib rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse tõenäosust.

*) Ennuste, Ülo (2016) https://uloennuste.wordpress.com/2016/11/18/do-not-quote-18-xi-16/

**) Le, Quan Vu; Paul J. Zak (2016) „Political risk and capital flight“ – Journal of International Money and Finance 25 (2006) 308-329 (NB: Political risks cause first of all especially human and financial – and especially by Kremlin predatory foreign policy towards Near Abroad Countries – especially threatening with nuclear attacks).

 

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (2015) Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity. – Journal of Development Economics 115 32–44 (NB: Absolutely actual for Baltic-Countries and Poland+Finland).

Mägi, Kadi; Kadri Leetmaa, Tiit Tammaru, Maarten van Ham (2016) „Types of spatial mobility and change in people’s ethnic residential contexts“ – DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH VOLUME 34, ARTICLE 41, PAGES 1161−1192 PUBLISHED 28 JUNE 2016 http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol34/41/ DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.41:

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol34/41/default.htm

Schmid-Schmidsfelden, Hubertus: Kristina Potapova (2016) The Bear in Sheep’s Clothing:

Russia’s Government-Funded Organisations in the EU. Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies:

https://www.google.ee/search?q=martensctre%20eu%20publications%20bear%20sheeps%20clothing%20russias%20government%20funded%20organisations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

november 30, 2016 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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